Published Research

Texas DOT Expansion Opportunities — August 2024

In this article, we explore geographic expansion opportunities for Texas DOT contractors by analyzing the competitiveness of all counties in the state. Using key metrics like the number of unique bidders, total spend, and single-bidder jobs, we rank each county to help contractors identify areas ripe for expansion. This analysis includes: • A heatmap showing counties with the highest ratio of spend to unique bidders, highlighting regions with less competition and higher potential value. • A heatmap detailing single-bidder activity, showing areas where fewer contractors are bidding on jobs. • A table ranking counties by competitiveness, including their spend-to-bidder ratio and single-bidder job count. • A section analyzing changes in county competitiveness over time, based on a moving average of county rankings. Find out where your next big opportunity might be and how your county’s competitive landscape has shifted!

Alex Desai

Alex Desai

10 min read

Introduction

As Texas DOT contractors seek to grow their businesses, understanding where the most promising opportunities exist is key. This article explores the competitiveness of counties across Texas, helping contractors identify geographic areas where expansion could be highly profitable. We rank each county based on three critical factors:

  1. Number of Unique Bidders: More bidders indicate a highly competitive market, while fewer bidders may present less competition.

  1. Total Spend: Higher spend in a county means more opportunities for contractors to win valuable projects.

  1. Number of Single-Bidder Jobs: Counties with a higher number of single-bidder jobs suggest less competition, potentially making it easier to secure projects.

By combining these metrics, we’ve ranked every county in Texas to help you find the best places to expand. Let’s explore the regions with the greatest potential for growth and how you can capitalize on these opportunities.

Synopsis of the October Letting and County Activity

In the last month, there were 112 state projects and 92 local projects awarded, totaling $686 million spent across 90 Texas counties.

Top Counties by Total Spending:

  • Kenedy: $127 million

  • Bowie: $118 million

  • Bexar: $102 million


Top Counties by Number of Projects:

  • Harris: 11

  • Hunt: 6

  • Travis: 6

Top Counties by Unique Bidders:

  • Harris: 25

  • Cooke: 20

  • Brazos: 19

This data gives a clear snapshot of where the most DOT activity occurred in the last letting, providing insight into which counties are seeing the most competition and spending.

Spend-to-Contractor Ratio

The Spend-to-Contractor Ratio reveals counties where there’s significant project spending, but fewer contractors competing for those funds. A higher ratio means that contractors in those counties are bidding against fewer competitors, leaving more room for you to enter and win profitable contracts.

Key Counties with High Spend-to-Bidders Ratios:

  • Smaller counties like Kenedy and Bowie have high contractor-to-spend ratios, with fewer contractors managing substantial expenditures.

  • Larger counties such as Bexar and Harris have lower contractor-to-spend ratios, reflecting a more competitive contractor environment.

These areas may be prime targets for contractors looking to expand their business in regions where the competition is lower, and the spend is higher.

Visualization: Here’s a visual representation of Texas counties, highlighting the regions with the highest contractors-to-spend ratios.

Single-Bidder Jobs Density

Counties with a high density of Single-Bidder Jobs are ripe for opportunity. These are regions where only one contractor bids on projects, suggesting less competition and easier access to contracts. For contractors looking to expand into less competitive markets, these counties offer significant growth potential.

Key Counties with High Single-Bidder Activity:

  • Counties like Palo Pinto and San Patricio with lower overall project spending tend to have single-bidder jobs, suggesting limited competition.

  • High-spend counties like Bexar and Harris have minimal single-bidder activity, likely due to a more competitive contractor landscape.

By targeting these counties, contractors can position themselves as key players in areas where few others are competing.

Visualization: This heatmap highlights Texas counties with the highest density of single-bidder jobs, showing you where opportunities may be less contested.

Competitiveness Rankings by County

Here’s a table ranking the competitiveness of Texas counties based on three key metrics: the Spend-to-Unique Bidders Ratio, the Number of Single-Bidder Jobs, and the Number of Projects. These rankings provide a clear view of where contractors can expand into markets with high spending, lower competition, and current project opportunities.

Key Insights:

  • Kenedy and Bowie counties have the highest spending, over $100 million each, but a low number of unique bidders (5 and 9, respectively), indicating high project costs managed by a small contractor base and limited competition.

  • Counties such as Palo Pinto and San Patricio, with low total spending under $6 million, tend to have only one project with a single bidder, reflecting a lack of contractor competition.

  • Larger counties like Harris and Bexar display moderate to high spending levels ($47.7 million and $101.8 million, respectively) with a high count of unique bidders (25 and 16), suggesting a competitive bidding environment with multiple contractors vying for projects.

These rankings help you assess which counties offer the most promising opportunities for expansion based on spending, competition, and the current number of ongoing projects, which could provide additional contracting opportunities.

Ranking County Competitiveness Over Time

Competitiveness in Texas DOT contracting markets shifts over time. This section presents a chart that visualizes the county competitiveness over the last 12 months. The chart highlights counties that have been consistently more or less competitive over time, allowing you to see where the best opportunities for expansion may be.

Chart Visualization: The chart tracks the competitiveness rankings of counties, allowing contractors to visualize how competitive dynamics are shifting over time.

Conclusion

As the Texas DOT contracting landscape continues to evolve, understanding county competitiveness is essential for contractors looking to grow their business. By analyzing the Spend-to-Unique Bidders Ratio and Single-Bidder Jobs, this article provides a roadmap for identifying regions where competition is low, and the potential for profit is high.

Counties like Kenedy and Bowie offer significant opportunities for contractors to enter markets with less competition and more spending. Meanwhile, tracking competitiveness trends over time ensures that contractors can stay ahead of shifts in the market.

To stay updated on insights like these and more, subscribe to our newsletter and get future articles delivered straight to your inbox.

Looking to take advantage of these opportunities? Reach out to Bidlo today and discover how our tools can help you refine your bidding strategy, expand into new regions, and secure more contracts with higher profit margins.

Don't miss out on your next big opportunity—start using Bidlo and position yourself ahead of the competition in Texas DOT contracting.

Share
Bidlo app — Beta

Turn market data into anunfair advantage.

In heavy civil construction, small decisions make million-dollar differences. Bidlo turns fragmented market data into insights so you can stop living bid-to-bid and start seeing the bigger picture.

Bidlo platform call to action graphic